Romney rolling in Iowa, New Hampshire on money well spent

From CNN 

He may be down in national polls, but Mitt Romney is on a roll in the two states that kick off presidential voting.

A new survey of Iowa Republicans out Monday puts Romney more than 20 points ahead of his closest rivals.

The former Massachusetts governor is at 36 percent in the University of Iowa Hawkeye poll. Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, the GOP front-runner in most national polls, places second at 13 percent and is in a virtual tie with former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee.

Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson is in fourth place at 11 percent and Arizona Sen. John McCain trails with 6 percent. The Republican survey carries a margin of error of plus or minus 5.8 percentage points.

The University of Iowa poll surveyed 285 likely Republican caucus-goers by telephone from October 17-24 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 5.8 percentage points.

If Huckabee can finish strong in Iowa, and then again in South Carolina it could give a big boost to his campaign.. Rudy and Romney have both invested heavily in the early states, if either fail to capitalize on those investments each would have to re-evaluate their campaign. Fred Thompson on the other hand has not invested nearly as much in the early states as the other candidates and only needs a respectable showing to move forward. The Wild card in all of this is the Isolation candidate Ron Paul, and how he does in New Hampshire.  If he grabs a significant percentage of the vote there it could force one of the top tier candidates out of the race. Regardless of what you might think of the Texas Congressman he has been able to put together a powerful internet based campagn, sort of like the Howard Dean of the Republican Party. Who knows, maybe we will get another Scream event similart to Dean’s folowing his poorer than expected showing in Iowa.

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